Moldy Peaches

Here is hoping that a visit from the Prime Minister ends the horrific losing streak that is gripping the province of Saskatchewan.

The real story, however, is not the Riders but rather Mr. Dithers and his drifting boat. According to Liberal party pollster David Herle the party is poised to reclaim their majority stance in parliament. Now, it is job of the pollster to report trends to the MPs and party, but to blow smoke up their ass is a stretch. David Herle should have been out of a job months ago, but apparently the Prime Minister stays loyal to the idiots that brought and almost wrecked him.

Currently, the Liberals, hold only 133 of 308 House of Commons seats, but Herle believes there are potential gains sitting there in Ontario, the Prairies and British Columbia when Canadians go to the polls this winter.

MPs were told that:

Winning back some of the 25 Ontario ridings that Martin's party lost to the Conservatives and NDP in the June 2004 vote is a strong possibility. This is likely, but it also could result in 3-5 seats.

The party, which holds only five of 56 seats in the Prairies, could capture eight or 10 ridings, mainly in Manitoba and Saskatchewan. No way, no how. Herle, from Regina, should know better. They over performed last election in Saskatchewan with their "a vote for the NDP is a vote for Harper" tactic late in the election. The NDP will be stronger in both provinces.

The Liberals are poised to make substantial gains in British Columbia, where they now hold eight of 36 ridings. The majority of the non-Liberal seats are solid Conservative and the NDP will be a bigger factor - see above. Small gains, if any, are probable.

The Liberals will be lucky to hold all their seats in Quebec. In fact, they are likely to lose 2-4 seats. They will drop 1, maybe both in Alberta. The Atlantic, well we need to see what pre-election spending comes out.

The Conservatives and NDP have had a quiet summer, but you get the sense that it will be a loud fall / winter. Both parties sense that the Liberals are still weak and polls show no clear favourite. Both parties will soon be talking policy, issues and Gomery and that will boost them both. Also, Canadians have not warmed to Paul Martin and his indecisive ways. It is very likely that the next election will see another minority government.

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